Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.097273 0.115366 0.135628 0.159963 0.188359 0.220407 0.259281
2025-02-09 0.069131 0.092309 0.121208 0.159725 0.209536 0.271581 0.354508
2025-02-16 0.053514 0.078546 0.112529 0.161672 0.230486 0.322919 0.455879
2025-02-23 0.044484 0.070660 0.108796 0.167769 0.255881 0.381663 0.573558
2025-03-02 0.035347 0.060308 0.099057 0.162679 0.263349 0.414958 0.658442
2025-03-09 0.029609 0.053858 0.093692 0.162656 0.277423 0.458519 0.762610
2025-03-16 0.024725 0.047750 0.087620 0.160115 0.286484 0.494574 0.858436
2025-03-23 0.021835 0.044527 0.085735 0.164044 0.306320 0.549656 0.990673
2025-03-30 0.018719 0.040250 0.081203 0.162412 0.315944 0.588220 1.098804
2025-04-06 0.015891 0.035977 0.075927 0.158462 0.320561 0.618122 1.194471
2025-04-13 0.013429 0.031969 0.070479 0.153253 0.321879 0.641811 1.280896
2025-04-20 0.012153 0.030273 0.069407 0.156556 0.339980 0.698327 1.433923
2025-04-27 0.010896 0.028427 0.067826 0.158770 0.356586 0.754586 1.594191
2025-05-04 0.009678 0.026443 0.065637 0.159383 0.370008 0.806192 1.751246
2025-05-11 0.008725 0.024921 0.064242 0.161530 0.386934 0.866631 1.932431
2025-05-18 0.008125 0.024187 0.064573 0.167672 0.413403 0.949615 2.168710
2025-05-25 0.006995 0.021792 0.060457 0.162596 0.413651 0.976548 2.288542
2025-06-01 0.006265 0.020361 0.058527 0.162576 0.425655 1.030330 2.472022
2025-06-08 0.005520 0.018723 0.055776 0.160037 0.431217 1.070123 2.628173
2025-06-15 0.005120 0.018049 0.055516 0.163965 0.453218 1.149816 2.882770
2025-06-22 0.004564 0.016758 0.053316 0.162333 0.460882 1.196565 3.065260
2025-06-29 0.004002 0.015319 0.050442 0.158385 0.461987 1.227612 3.213456
2025-07-06 0.003475 0.013876 0.047299 0.153178 0.459024 1.248291 3.338477